Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 3.256460 3.871378 4.537593 5.309123 6.174028 7.109805 8.194815
2025-12-21 2.236907 3.010340 3.922463 5.061592 6.429691 8.003684 9.934466
2025-12-28 1.768724 2.665299 3.804979 5.321494 7.246418 9.568442 12.538763
2026-01-04 1.464991 2.453778 3.799226 5.690931 8.205727 11.357846 15.525347
2026-01-11 1.215685 2.257285 3.769098 6.004061 9.098707 13.107194 18.555607
2026-01-18 0.956246 1.983760 3.579196 6.059731 9.633443 14.409260 21.070099
2026-01-25 0.710560 1.668770 3.269423 5.892079 9.824796 15.244355 22.993446
2026-02-01 0.531753 1.419354 3.014095 5.761476 10.036972 16.095242 24.951565
2026-02-08 0.397308 1.212570 2.789138 5.640608 10.235959 16.916779 26.881400
2026-02-15 0.301757 1.054865 2.619598 5.581846 10.510572 17.842668 28.974306
2026-02-22 0.258284 1.003753 2.638723 5.838746 11.285704 19.520535 32.177460
2026-03-01 0.201976 0.898536 2.531697 5.858084 11.673231 20.630120 34.591876
2026-03-08 0.135178 0.732688 2.270193 5.573358 11.552539 20.984907 35.952142
2026-03-15 0.089623 0.602874 2.056431 5.347668 11.507058 21.444160 37.474559
2026-03-22 0.076807 0.585274 2.103183 5.637320 12.366737 23.348950 41.214149
2026-03-29 0.069603 0.587465 2.199388 6.034540 13.434593 25.617146 45.560605
2026-04-05 0.060923 0.577922 2.263348 6.368718 14.403632 27.754843 49.758216
2026-04-12 0.046037 0.525547 2.202361 6.431157 14.880860 29.110795 52.788359
2026-04-19 0.029781 0.444975 2.042214 6.258377 14.910333 29.731051 54.691221
2026-04-26 0.018914 0.379636 1.907522 6.123207 14.995637 30.437990 56.737739
2026-05-03 0.011538 0.323782 1.784757 5.997564 15.084985 31.145517 58.791308
2026-05-10 0.007047 0.281658 1.694366 5.936544 15.292513 32.054330 61.179988
2026-05-17 0.005720 0.276431 1.736030 6.205692 16.167976 34.131097 65.482271